2024 Emmys Supporting Actress Drama Predictions
Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
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2024 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series
Weekly Commentary (Updated: Aug. 19, 2024): The acting wins across the six seasons of Netflix’s monarchy drama “The Crown” have taken multiple twists and turns.
In 2017, Claire Foy, who portrayed Queen Elizabeth II, was favored to win but lost to Elisabeth Moss for “The Handmaid’s Tale.” John Lithgow, who played Winston Churchill, was the only acting winner of the series that year.
In 2018, Foy secured her first statuette, with director Stephen Daldry also taking home a prize. In 2020, Olivia Colman, who succeeded Foy as Queen Elizabeth in the show’s later seasons, was expected to win, especially after her Oscar for “The Favourite” in 2019. However, history-making Zendaya won the award for “Euphoria,” besting Colman.
Then came 2021, a year marked by an epic sweep for the series, which became the first drama to win all major Emmy categories. Despite this achievement, a surprising twist occurs when Colman wins over Emma Corrin, who portrayed Princess Diana. Corrin had won the Golden Globe and Critics Choice Awards for the role, making Colman’s win unexpected.
Now, in 2024, signs point to a possible upset. Elizabeth Debicki, nominated in 2023 for her portrayal of Princess Diana, is undefeated in the televised awards circuit for the final season, having won Critics Choice, Golden Globe, and SAG awards. A clue might be found in the writing category. Peter Morgan and Meriel Sheibani-Clare were nominated for the episode “Ritz” instead of the expected series finale, “Sleep, Dearie Sleep.” “Ritz,” which centers on Princess Margaret, showcases Lesley Manville’s standout performance, ending on a heart-wrenching emotional note and arguably standing as the season’s best episode. The episode is also Manville’s official submission. With a career with an Oscar nomination for “Phantom Thread” (2017), Manville could secure her first Emmy nod with a surprising win.
Vote-splitting between “The Crown” and Apple’s “The Morning Show” actresses could open the door for Christine Baranski from HBO’s “The Gilded Age.” Baranski, who last won in 1995 for her supporting role in the comedy “Cybill,” is now in the running for her second statuette with her 16th nomination.
The Creative Arts and Governors Gala ceremonies will be held on Sept. 7-8. The 76th Primetime Emmy Awards will air on ABC on Sunday, Sept. 15.
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Primetime Emmy predictions in the major categories.
And the Nominees Are
Rank | Performer and Series |
|---|---|
1 | Lesley Manville — “The Crown” (Netflix) |
2 | Elizabeth Debicki — “The Crown” (Netflix) |
3 | Christine Baranski — “The Gilded Age” (Max) |
4 | Greta Lee — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+) |
5 | Nicole Beharie — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+) |
6 | Holland Taylor — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+) |
7 | Karen Pittman — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+) |
Eligible Performers (Supporting Drama Actress)
**Officially submitted and on the Emmy nominations ballot.
Christine Adams — “Hijack” (Apple TV+)
Lashay Anderson — “Black Cake” (Hulu)
Alani “La La” Anthony — “BMF”
Nizhonniya Luxi Austin — “The Curse” (Showtime)
Shinelle Azoroh — “Swagger” (Apple TV+)
Birgundi Baker — “The Chi” (Showtime)
Christine Baranski — “The Gilded Age” (Max)
Marlyne Barrett — “Chicago Med”
Irene Bedard — “The Green Veil” (The Network)
Nicole Beharie — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)
Natasha Behnam — “The Girls on the Bus” (Max)
Meg Bellamy — “The Crown” (Netflix)
Denée Benton — “The Gilded Age” (Max)
Laura Birn — “Foundation” (Apple TV+)
Rachel Blanchard — “The Summer I Turned Pretty” (Prime Video)
Natasha Liu Bordizzo — “Ahsoka” (Disney+)
Zabou Breitman — “The New Look” (Apple TV+)
Ellen Burstyn — “Law & Order: Organized Crime”
Jess Bush — “Star Trek: Strange New Worlds” (Paramount+)
Tonantzin Carmelo — “La Brea”
Keisha Castle-Hughes — “FBI: Most Wanted”
Sydney Chandler — “Sugar” (Apple TV+)
Rosalind Chao — “3 Body Problem” (Netflix)
Olivia Cheng — “Warrior” (Max)
Christina Chong — “Star Trek: Strange New Worlds” (Paramount+)
Sarita Choudhury — “Fallout” (Prime Video)
Chipo Chung — “Black Cake” (Hulu)
Adelaide Clemens — “Justified: City Primeval” (FX)
Kiersey Clemons — “Monarch: Legacy of Monsters” (Apple TV+)
Ruth Connell — “Dead Boy Detectives” (Netflix)
Abbie Cornish — “Tom Clancy’s Jack Ryan” (Prime Video)
Andrea Cortés — “Mayans M.C.” (FX)
Natasha Culzac — “Halo” (Paramount+)
Kelley Curran — “The Gilded Age” (Max)
Yaya DaCosta — “The Lincoln Lawyer” (Netflix)
Alana De La Garza — “FBI”
Laysia De Oliveira — “Special Ops: Lioness” (Paramount+)
Elizabeth Debicki — “The Crown” (Netflix)
Kate del Castillo — “The Cleaning Lady” (Fox)
Loretta Devine — “Kingdom Business” (BET+)
Sophia Di Martino — “Loki” (Disney+)
Alyssa Diaz — “The Rookie”
Phillippa Dunne — “The Woman in the Wall” (Showtime)
Svetiana Efremova — “For All Mankind” (Apple TV+)
Rosalind Eleazar — “Slow Horses” (Apple TV+)
Christina Elmore — “The Girls on the Bus” (Max)
Linda Emond — “Death and Other Details” (Hulu)
Taissa Farmiga — “The Gilded Age” (Max)
Diane Farr — “Fire Country” (CBS)
Hilda Fay — “The Woman in the Wall” (Showtime)
Tessa Ferrer — “Swagger” (Apple TV+)
Betty Gabriel — “Tom Clancy’s Jack Ryan” (Prime Video)
Eiza González — “3 Body Problem” (Netflix)
Celia Rose Gooding — “Star Trek: Strange New Worlds” (Paramount+)
Zyra Gorecki — “La Brea”
Ari Graynor — “Winning Time: The Rise of the Lakers Dynasty” (Max)
Sarah Greene — “Sexy Beast”
Hanako Greensmith — “Chicago Fire”
Tamsin Greig — “Sexy Beast”
Carla Gugino — “The Girls on the Bus” (Max)
Julianna Guill — “Joe Pickett”
Anna Gunn — “Sugar” (Apple TV+)
Odelya Halevi — “Law & Order” (NBC)
Eve Harlow — “Star Trek: Discovery” (Paramount+)
Leah Harvey — “Foundation” (Apple TV+)
Laya DeLeon Hayes — “The Equalizer” (CBS)
Christina Hendricks — “The Buccaneers” (Apple TV+)
Sonita Henry — “Black Cake” (Hulu)
Jennifer Love Hewitt — “9-1-1”
Amy Hill — “Magnum P.I.”
Aisha Hinds — “9-1-1”
Gaby Hoffman — “Winning Time: The Rise of the Lakers Dynasty” (Max)
Moeka Hoshi — “Shōgun” (FX)
Aubri Ibrag — “The Buccaneers” (Apple TV+)
Diana Lee Inosanto — “Ahsoka” (Disney+)
Christina Jackson — “Swagger”
Rose Jackson Smith — “Girls on the Bus” (Max)
Louisa Jacobson — “The Gilded Age”
Sakina Jeffrey — “Billions”
Patricia Kalamber — “Power Book IV: Force”
Carol Kane — “Star Trek: Strange New Worlds”
Katherine Renee Kane — “FBI”
Parveen Kaur — “Manifest”
Mimi M. Khayisa — “The Witcher” (Netflix)
Kiawentiio — “Avatar: The Last Airbender” (Netflix)
Nicole Kidman — “Special Ops: Lioness” (Paramount+)
Rinko Kikuchi — “Tokyo Vice” (Max)
Hailey Kilgore — “Power Book III: Raising Kenan”
Yuka Kouri — “Sho?gun” (FX)
Molly Kunz — “The Irrational”
Hannah Love Lanier — “Special Ops: Lioness”
Liza Lapira — “The Equalizer”
Sharon Lawrence — “Joe Pickett”
Hannah Leder — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)
Greta Lee — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)
Nanrisa Lee — “Quantum Leap”
Chyler Leigh — “The Way Home”
Lou Llobell — “Foundation”
Alexis Louder — “The Changeling”
Andie MacDowell — “The Way Home”
Madeleine Madden — “The Wheel of Time” (Prime Video)
Paula Malcomson — “Parish” (AMC)
Camryn Manheim — “Law & Order”
Lesley Manville — “The Crown” (Netflix)
Julianna Margulies — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)
Jessica Matten — “Dark Winds” (AMC)
Gugu Mbatha-Raw — “Loki” (Disney+)
Audra McDonald — “The Gilded Age” (Max)
Pollyanna Mcintosh — “The Walking Dead: The Ones Who Live” (AMC)
Cynthia Kaye McWilliams — “Average Joe” (BET+)
Andrea Menard — “Sullivan’s Crossing”
S. Epatha Merkerson — “Chicago Med”
Martha Millan — “The Cleaning Lady”
Emily Mortimer — “The New Look” (Apple TV+)
Amy Morton — “Chicago P.D.”
Wunmi Mosaku — “Loki” (Disney+)
Donna Murphy — “The Gilded Age” (Max)
Eve Myles — “Hijack” (Apple TV+)
Melissa Navia — “Star Trek: Strange New Worlds”
Becki Newton — “The Lincoln Lawyer”
Fumi Nikaido — “Shōgun” (FX)
Cynthia Nixon — “The Gilded Age” (Max)
Tig Notaro — “The Morning Show”
Tig Notaro — “Star Trek: Discovery”
Stephanie Nur — “Special Ops: Lioness”
Kelli O’Hara — “The Gilded Age” (Max)
Sophie Okonedo — “Slow Horses” (Apple TV+)
Archie Panjabi — “Hijack” (Apple TV+)
Lauren Patten — “Death and Other Details”
Carra Patterson — “Elsbeth” (CBS)
Coral Pe?a — “For All Mankind” (Apple TV+)
Karen Pittman — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)
Tamara Podemski — “Outer Range” (Prime Video)
Isabelle Poloner — “The Green Veil” (The Network)
Imogen Poots — “Outer Range” (Prime Video)
Adina Porter — “The Changeling” (Apple TV+)
Clémence Poésy — “The Walking Dead: Daryl Dixon” (AMC)
Jazz Raycole — “The Lincoln Lawyer”
Diona Reasonover — “NCIS”
Saskia Reeves — “Slow Horses” (Apple TV+)
Zo? Robins — “The Wheel of Time” (Prime Video)
Rebecca Romijn — “Star Trek: Strange New Worlds” (Prime Video)
Yolonda Ross — “The Chi” (Showtime)
Tyner Rushing — “For All Mankind”
Amy Ryan — “Sugar” (Apple TV+)
Jeri Ryan — “Dark Winds” (AMC)
Ivanna Sakhno — “Ahsoka” (Disney+)
Denise G. Sanchez — “Bosch: Legacy”
Lily Santiago — “La Brea”
Pardis Saremi — “Death and Other Details”
Jessy Schram — “Chicago Med”
Kristin Scott Thomas — “Slow Horses” (Apple TV+)
Kyra Sedgwick — “The Summer I Turned Pretty” (Prime Video)
Ainsley Seiger — “Law & Order: Organized Crime”
Maggie Siff — “Billions”
Sophie Skelton — “Outlander” (Starz)
Sonja Sohn — “Will Trent” (ABC)
Tracy Spiridakos — “Chicago P.D.”
Travina Springer — “The Irrational”
Marina Squerciati — “Chicago P.D.”
Veronica St. Clair — “La Brea”
Roxy Sternberg — “FBI: Most Wanted”
Ptosha Storey — “Tyler Perry’s The Oval”
Serinda Swan — “Reacher”
Eliza Taylor — “Quantum Leap”
Holland Taylor — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)
Mia Threapleton — “The Buccanneers”
Jennifer Tilly — “Chucky” (Syfy)
Tamera Tomakili — “Winning Time: The Rise of the Lakers Dynasty” (Max)
Frances Tomelty — “The Woman in the Wall” (Showtime)
Josie Totah — “The Buccaneers” (Apple TV+)
Lorraine Toussaint — “The Equalizer” (CBS)
Danielle Moné Truitt — “Law & Order: Organized Crime”
Leslie Uggams — “Fallout” (Prime Video)
Shantel VanSanten — “FBI: Most Wanted”
Vinessa Vidotto — “FBI: International”
Riley Voelkel — “Hightown”
Jill Wagner — “Special Ops: Lioness”
Quvenzhané Wallis — “Swagger”
Harriet Walter — “Silo” (Apple TV+)
Adrienne Warren — “Black Cake” (Hulu)
Hikmah Warsame — “The Curse” (Showtime)
Imogen Waterhouse — “The Buccaneers”
Kelli Williams — “Found” (NBC)
Maisie Williams — “The New Look” (Apple TV+)
Eva-Jane Willis — “FBI: International”
Mary Elizabeth Winstead — “Ahsoka” (Disney+)
Mary Wiseman — “Star Trek: Discovery” (Paramount+)
Christina Wolfe — “FBI: International”
Erika Woods — “Power Book III: Raising Kenan”
Cynthy Wu — “For All Mankind”
Mari Yamamoto — “Monarch: Legacy of Monsters” (Apple TV+)
Elizabeth Yu — “Avatar: The Last Airbender” (Netflix)
Angela Zhou — “Death and Other Details” (Hulu)
More Information (Supporting Drama Actress)
2023 category winner: Jennifer Coolidge — “The White Lotus” (Max) — Season 2
2024 Emmy Awards Calendar and Timeline (all dates are subject to change)
Eligibility period: June 1, 2023 – May 31, 2024
Feb. 29: Submissions open
May 9: Deadline for programs identifying as Primetime programming to upload all entry materials.
June 13: Nominations-round voting begins
June 24: Nominations-round voting ends at 10:00 p.m. PT
June 28 – July 8: Voting for peer group-specific top ten rounds panels (if applicable)
July 17: Primetime Emmy nominations are announced.
July 24: Deadline for errors and omissions to the nominations.
August 5: Find-round videos available for viewing.
August 15: Final-round voting begins.
August 26: Final-round voting ends at 10:00 p.m. PST.
Sept. 7-8: Creative Arts Emmy Awards and Governors Gala
Sunday, Sept. 15: 76th Primetime Emmy Awards to air on ABC.
Emmy Prediction Categories
Drama | Comedy | Limited/Movie |
|---|---|---|
Documentary (Series, Special, Hosted Nonfiction, Exceptional Merit) |
About the Primetime Emmy Awards
The Primetime Emmy Awards, commonly known as the Emmys, are awarded by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Established in 1949, these celebrate outstanding achievements in American primetime television. The Emmys are categorized into three divisions: the Primetime Emmy Awards for performance and production excellence; the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards, recognizing achievements in artistry and craftsmanship; and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards, which honor significant engineering and technological advancements. The eligibility period typically extends from June 1 to May 31 each year. The Television Academy hosts the Emmys and has over 20,000 members across 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans and executives.
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