Gold Derby Oscar predictions 2025: Initial lineup for Best Animated Feature race [Updated September 11]
If the 2025 Oscars nominations were announced today, what would Gold Derby predict would be the nominees and winners? Our predictions center officially opened on July 1, 2024 and already more than 3,500 people have made their nominations forecasts in the nine top categories for picture, directing, acting, writing and animation. So who’s out front to claim these golden trophies, according to the Gold Derby Oscar predictions 2025?
Below, see a snapshot in time of our Oscar racetrack odds, updated on September 11, 2024. (See how the odds and rankings have changed over time by examining our previous snapshots on July 3, July 9, July 16, July 23, July 29, August 6, August 19 and August 28.)
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Now expected to receive a nomination since the last update: “The Brutalist” in Best Picture, Angelina Jolie (“Maria”) and Saoirse Ronan (“The Outrun”) in Best Actress, Adrien Brody (“The Brutalist”) and Daniel Craig (“Queer”) in Best Actor, and “Saturday Night” in Best Original Screenplay. Plus, take a gander at the initial lineup for the Best Animated Feature race, where the five expected nominees, as of this writing, are “The Wild Robot,” “Inside Out 2,” “Memoir of a Snail,” “Flow” and “Moana 2.”
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Gold Derby’s Academy Awards odds are based on the combined forecasts of Experts we’ve polled from major media outlets, Editors who cover awards year-round for this website, Top 24 Users who did the best predicting the winners last time, All-Star Users who had the best prediction scores over the last two years, and the mass of Users who make up our biggest predictions bloc. We will continue to update the predictions center whenever new information is provided to us by the studios/campaigners.
BEST PICTURE
Predicted Nominees
1. “Anora” — 17/2
2. “Sing Sing” — 17/2
3. “Conclave” — 9/1
4. “Dune: Part Two” — 9/1
5. “Emilia Perez” — 10/1
6. “Blitz” — 10/1
7. “Nickel Boys” — 14/1
8. “The Brutalist” — 16/1
9. “Gladiator II” — 18/1
10. “A Complete Unknown” — 28/1
Predicted Spoilers
“Saturday Night,” “The Piano Lesson,” “Joker: Folie à Deux,” “A Real Pain,” “The Room Next Door”
See more Best Picture contenders …
BEST DIRECTOR
Predicted Nominees
1. Sean Baker (“Anora”) — 5/1
2. Steve McQueen (“Blitz”) — 13/2
3. Denis Villeneuve (“Dune: Part Two”) — 7/1
4. Edward Berger (“Conclave”) — 15/2
5. Jacques Audiard (“Emilia Perez”) — 8/1
Predicted Spoilers
Brady Corbet (“The Brutalist”), Ridley Scott (“Gladiator II”), Greg Kwedar (“Sing Sing”), Pedro Almodovar (“The Room Next Door”), RaMell Ross (“Nickel Boys”)
See more Best Director contenders …
BEST ACTRESS
Predicted Nominees
1. Mikey Madison (“Anora”) — 9/2
2. Karla Sofia Gascon (“Emilia Perez”) — 5/1
3. Angelina Jolie (“Maria”) — 13/2
4. Amy Adams (“Nightbitch”) — 15/2
5. Saoirse Ronan (“The Outrun”) — 23/2
Predicted Spoilers
Saoirse Ronan (“Blitz”), Nicole Kidman (“Babygirl”), Marianne Jean-Baptiste (“Hard Truths”), Julianne Moore (“The Room Next Door”), June Squibb (“Thelma”)
See more Best Actress contenders …
BEST ACTOR
Predicted Nominees
1. Colman Domingo (“Sing Sing”) — 39/10
2. Ralph Fiennes (“Conclave”) — 4/1
3. Timothee Chalamet (“A Complete Unknown”) — 11/2
4. Adrien Brody (“The Brutalist”) — 7/1
5. Daniel Craig (“Queer”) — 15/2
Predicted Spoilers
John David Washington (“The Piano Lesson”), Joaquin Phoenix (“Joker: Folie à Deux”), Paul Mescal (“Gladiator II”), Sebastian Stan (“A Different Man”), Ethan Herisse (“Nickel Boys”)
See more Best Actor contenders …
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Predicted Nominees
1. Danielle Deadwyler (“The Piano Lesson”) — 19/5
2. Zoe Saldana (“Emilia Perez”) — 9/2
3. Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor (“Nickel Boys”) — 6/1
4. Isabella Rossellini (“Conclave”) — 15/2
5. Tilda Swinton (“The Room Next Door”) — 8/1
Predicted Spoilers
Selena Gomez (“Emilia Perez”), Felicity Jones (“The Brutalist”), Joan Chen (“Didi”), Toni Collette (“Juror #2”), Natasha Lyonne (“His Three Daughters”)
See more Best Supporting Actress contenders …
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Predicted Nominees
1. Clarence Maclin (“Sing Sing”) — 9/2
2. Kieran Culkin (“A Real Pain”) — 11/2
3. Stanley Tucci (“Conclave”) — 6/1
4. Samuel L. Jackson (“The Piano Lesson”) — 13/2
5. Denzel Washington (“Gladiator II”) — 8/1
Predicted Spoilers
Guy Pearce (“The Brutalist”), Edward Norton (“A Complete Unknown”), Harris Dickinson (“Blitz”), John Lithgow (“Conclave”), Mark Eydelshteyn (“Anora”)
See more Best Supporting Actor contenders …
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Predicted Nominees
1. “Sing Sing” — 37/10
2. “Conclave” — 4/1
3. “Nickel Boys” — 11/2
4. “Dune: Part Two” — 9/1
5. “The Piano Lesson” — 21/2
Predicted Spoilers
“The Room Next Door,” “Nightbitch,” “Queer,” “A Complete Unknown,” “Joker: Folie à Deux”
See more Best Adapted Screenplay contenders …
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Predicted Nominees
1. “Anora” — 37/10
2. “Blitz” — 11/2
3. “A Real Pain” — 13/2
4. “Emilia Perez” — 7/1
5. “Saturday Night” — 9/1
Predicted Spoilers
“The Brutalist,” “Hard Truths,” “The Seed of the Sacred Fig,” “Challengers,” “The Substance”
See more Best Original Screenplay contenders …
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Predicted Nominees
1. “The Wild Robot” — 17/5
2. “Inside Out 2” — 19/5
3. “Memoir of a Snail” — 6/1
4. “Flow” — 15/2
5. “Moana 2” — 9/1
Predicted Spoilers
“Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl,” “Transformers One,” “Lord of the Rings: The War of the Rohirrim,” “Piece by Piece,” “Despicable Me 4”
See more Best Animated Feature contenders …
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