Gold Derby Oscar predictions 2025: ‘Wicked’ soars into Best Picture lineup [Updated November 11]
If the 2025 Oscars nominations were announced today, what would Gold Derby predict as the nominees and winners? Since our predictions center opened on July 1, 2024, more than 5,500 people have made their forecasts in 18 top categories. So who’s out front to claim these golden trophies, according to the Gold Derby Oscar predictions 2025?
Below, see a snapshot in time of our racetrack odds for the 97th Academy Awards, updated on November 11, 2024. See how the odds and rankings have changed over time by examining our previous Oscar snapshots on July 3, July 9, July 16, July 23, July 29, August 6, August 19, August 28, September 11, September 19, September 23, September 30, October 7, October 14, October 22, October 28, and November 4.
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Now expected to receive a nomination since the last update: “Wicked” in Best Picture, Marianne Jean-Baptiste (“Hard Truths”) in Best Actress, and both “September 5” and “The Substance” in Best Original Screenplay.
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Gold Derby’s Academy Awards odds are based on the combined forecasts of Experts we’ve polled from major media outlets, Editors who cover awards year-round for this website, Top 24 Users who did the best predicting the winners last time, All-Star Users who had the best prediction scores over the last two years, and the mass of Users who make up our biggest predictions bloc. We will continue to update the Oscar predictions center whenever new information is provided to us by the studios/campaigners. Track the awards races by exploring all of our charts and graphs.
BEST PICTURE
Predicted Nominees
1. “Anora” — 7/1
2. “The Brutalist” — 15/2
3. “Conclave” — 8/1
4. “Emilia Pérez” — 17/2
5. “Dune: Part Two” — 10/1
6. “Sing Sing” — 12/1
7. “Gladiator II” — 16/1
8. “Nickel Boys” — 18/1
9. “A Real Pain” — 18/1
10. “Wicked” — 22/1
Predicted Spoilers
“Blitz,” “September 5,” “A Complete Unknown,” “The Substance,” “The Piano Lesson”
See more Best Picture contenders …
BEST DIRECTOR
Predicted Nominees
1. Brady Corbet (“The Brutalist”) — 4/1
2. Sean Baker (“Anora”) — 4/1
3. Jacques Audiard (“Emilia Pérez”) — 11/2
4. Edward Berger (“Conclave”) — 15/2
5. Denis Villeneuve (“Dune: Part Two”) — 17/2
Predicted Spoilers
Ridley Scott (“Gladiator II”), RaMell Ross (“Nickel Boys”), Coralie Fargeat (“The Substance”), Steve McQueen (“Blitz”), Mohammad Rasoulof (“The Seed of the Sacred Fig”)
See more Best Director contenders …
BEST ACTRESS
Predicted Nominees
1. Mikey Madison (“Anora”) — 37/10
2. Karla Sofia Gascon (“Emilia Pérez”) — 9/2
3. Angelina Jolie (“Maria”) — 5/1
4. Nicole Kidman (“Babygirl”) — 8/1
5. Marianne Jean-Baptiste (“Hard Truths”) — 11/1
Predicted Spoilers
Saoirse Ronan (“The Outrun”), Demi Moore (“The Substance”), Amy Adams (“Nightbitch”), Cynthia Erivo (“Wicked”), Fernanda Torres (“I’m Still Here”)
See more Best Actress contenders …
BEST ACTOR
Predicted Nominees
1. Adrien Brody (“The Brutalist”) — 37/10
2. Ralph Fiennes (“Conclave”) — 19/5
3. Colman Domingo (“Sing Sing”) — 9/2
4. Timothee Chalamet (“A Complete Unknown”) — 6/1
5. Daniel Craig (“Queer”) — 21/2
Predicted Spoilers
Sebastian Stan (“The Apprentice”), Paul Mescal (“Gladiator II”), John David Washington (“The Piano Lesson”), Jesse Eisenberg (“A Real Pain”), Sebastian Stan (“A Different Man”)
See more Best Actor contenders …
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Predicted Nominees
1. Zoe Saldana (“Emilia Pérez”) — 7/2
2. Danielle Deadwyler (“The Piano Lesson”) — 11/2
3. Felicity Jones (“The Brutalist”) — 11/2
4. Saoirse Ronan (“Blitz”) — 17/2
5. Ariana Grande (“Wicked”) — 21/2
Predicted Spoilers
Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor (“Nickel Boys”), Selena Gomez (“Emilia Pérez”), Isabella Rossellini (“Conclave”), Margaret Qualley (“The Substance”), Joan Chen (“Didi”)
See more Best Supporting Actress contenders …
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Predicted Nominees
1. Kieran Culkin (“A Real Pain”) — 39/10
2. Guy Pearce (“The Brutalist”) — 9/2
3. Denzel Washington (“Gladiator II”) — 5/1
4. Clarence Maclin (“Sing Sing”) — 6/1
5. Stanley Tucci (“Conclave”) — 11/1
Predicted Spoilers
Yura Borisov (“Anora”), Jeremy Strong (“The Apprentice”), Edward Norton (“A Complete Unknown”), Samuel L. Jackson (“The Piano Lesson”), Mark Eydelshteyn (“Anora”)
See more Best Supporting Actor contenders …
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Predicted Nominees
1. “Conclave” — 71/20
2. “Sing Sing” — 9/2
3. “Nickel Boys” — 6/1
4. “Emilia Pérez” — 6/1
5. “Dune: Part Two” — 19/2
Predicted Spoilers
“The Room Next Door,” “The Piano Lesson,” “The Wild Robot,” “A Complete Unknown,” “Gladiator II”
See more Best Adapted Screenplay contenders …
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Predicted Nominees
1. “Anora” — 7/2
2. “The Brutalist” — 4/1
3. “A Real Pain” — 5/1
4. “September 5” — 17/2
5. “The Substance” — 13/1
Predicted Spoilers
“Saturday Night,” “Hard Truths,” “Blitz,” “The Seed of the Sacred Fig,” “Challengers”
See more Best Original Screenplay contenders …
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Predicted Nominees
1. “The Brutalist” — 71/20
2. “Dune: Part Two” — 9/2
3. “Emilia Pérez” — 6/1
4. “Nickel Boys” — 8/1
5. “Maria” — 17/2
Predicted Spoilers
“Conclave,” “Nosferatu,” “Gladiator II,” “Wicked,” “Blitz”
See more Best Cinematography contenders …
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Predicted Nominees
1. “Wicked” — 37/10
2. “Dune: Part Two” — 9/2
3. “Gladiator II” — 5/1
4. “Maria” — 11/2
5. “Blitz” — 19/2
Predicted Spoilers
“The Brutalist,” “Nosferatu,” “Beetlejuice Beetlejuice,” “Conclave,” “Emilia Pérez”
See more Best Costume Design contenders …
BEST FILM EDITING
Predicted Nominees
1. “The Brutalist” — 19/5
2. “Dune: Part Two” — 9/2
3. “Anora” — 5/1
4. “Conclave” — 6/1
5. “Emilia Pérez” — 13/2
Predicted Spoilers
“September 5,” “Gladiator II,” “Challengers,” “Blitz,” “Nickel Boys”
See more Best Film Editing contenders …
BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
Predicted Nominees
1. “The Substance” — 39/10
2. “Dune: Part Two” — 4/1
3. “Beetlejuice Beetlejuice” — 5/1
4. “Wicked” — 6/1
5. “Nosferatu” — 8/1
Predicted Spoilers
“A Different Man,” “Emilia Pérez,” “The Apprentice,” “Gladiator II,” “Sasquatch Sunset”
See more Best Makeup & Hairstyling contenders …
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Predicted Nominees
1. “Dune: Part Two” — 19/5
2. “Gladiator II” — 9/2
3. “Wicked” — 9/2
4. “The Brutalist” — 5/1
5. “Blitz” — 15/2
Predicted Spoilers
“Conclave,” “Nosferatu,” “Emilia Pérez,” “Megalopolis,” “Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga”
See more Best Production Design contenders …
BEST SCORE
Predicted Nominees
1. “The Brutalist” — 39/10
2. “Conclave” — 39/10
3. “The Wild Robot” — 6/1
4. “Emilia Pérez” — 6/1
5. “Challengers” — 11/1
Predicted Spoilers
“The Room Next Door,” “Saturday Night,” “Gladiator II,” “Blitz,” “Wicked”
See more Best Score contenders …
BEST SONG
Predicted Nominees
1. “Emilia Pérez” (“El Mal”) — 4/1
2. “The Wild Robot” (“Kiss the Sky”) — 9/2
3. “The Six Triple Eight” (“The Journey”) — 13/2
4. “Emilia Pérez” (“Mi Camino”) — 15/2
5. “Sing Sing” (“Like a Bird”) — 17/2
Predicted Spoilers
“Will and Harper” (“Harper and Will Go West”), “Piece by Piece” (“Piece by Piece”), “Moana 2” (“Beyond”), “Blitz” (“Winter Coat”), “Mufasa: The Lion King” (“I Always Wanted a Brother”)
See more Best Song contenders …
BEST SOUND
Predicted Nominees
1. “Dune: Part Two” — 69/20
2. “Gladiator II” — 9/2
3. “Blitz” — 11/2
4. “Emilia Pérez” — 13/2
5. “Wicked” — 8/1
Predicted Spoilers
“Twisters,” “Conclave,” “A Complete Unknown,” “Nosferatu,” “The Brutalist”
See more Best Sound contenders …
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Predicted Nominees
1. “Dune: Part Two” — 10/3
2. “Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes” — 4/1
3. “Gladiator II” — 5/1
4. “Twisters” — 8/1
5. “Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga” — 12/1
Predicted Spoilers
“Wicked,” “Mufasa: The Lion King,” “Here,” “Alien: Romulus,” “Deadpool and Wolverine”
See more Best Visual Effects contenders …
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Predicted Nominees
1. “The Wild Robot” — 82/25
2. “Inside Out 2” — 4/1
3. “Memoir of a Snail” — 9/2
4. “Flow” — 6/1
5. “Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl” — 13/2
Predicted Spoilers
“Moana 2,” “Piece by Piece,” “Lord of the Rings: The War of the Rohirrim,” “Transformers One,” “Despicable Me 4”
See more Best Animated Feature contenders …
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