Golden Globe odds update: Cristin Milioti waddles into third place to win for ‘The Penguin’

The Best Limited/Movie Actress race at the 2025 Golden Globes has had the same two frontrunners all season long: Jodie Foster (“True Detective: Night Country”) and Cate Blanchett (“Disclaimer”). But there’s a brand new challenger in the third place position in the form of Cristin Milioti (“The Penguin”). Can she pull out a victory when the 82nd annual Golden Globes air on Jan. 5, 2025, on CBS?

Foster, Blanchett, and Milioti are expected to be joined by Sofia Vergara (“Griselda”), Naomi Watts (“Feud: Capote vs. The Swans”), and Nicole Kidman (“The Perfect Couple”) in this year’s nominations lineup, per our combined odds. Foster recently won the Emmy for “True Detective: Night Country, with Vergara and Watts being co-nominees. Blanchett, Milioti, and Kidman star on new programs that will be eligible at next year’s Emmys.

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“The Penguin” is HBO’s take on the classic DC Comics “Batman” villain, with Colin Farrell playing the titular role. Milioti appears as Sofia Gigante, a fearless woman who grew up in a crime family and returns to Gotham City after a recent stint at Arkham State Hospital. Her search for who killed her brother (Michael Zegen) leads her right to the Penguin himself, someone with whom Sofia has a long history.

Milioti’s breakout episode is “Cent’Anni” (written by John McCutcheon and directed by Helen Shaver), which chronicles her character’s dark backstory. Basically, Sofia is accused of a crime she didn’t commit by her father, and is sent to the asylum with countless other violent women. This fourth episode ends in the present day, with Sofia punishing many of her family members in rather dramatic fashion.

SEE‘The Penguin’ trailer: Gotham City belongs to Colin Farrell in new teaser [Watch]

This would be Milioti’s first career Golden Globe mention, though she does have a Critics Choice nomination to her name for “Fargo” (2016). Farrell is a two-time Golden Globe winner for “In Bruges” (2008) and “The Banshees of Inisherin” (2022), the latter project also scoring him an Oscar nomination.

Out of Gold Derby’s 15 Globe experts from major media outlets, the following dozen have Milioti in their personal rankings: Ben Travers (Indiewire), Christopher Rosen (Gold Derby), Clayton Davis (Variety), Debra Birnbaum (Gold Derby), Eric Deggans (NPR), Jazz Tangcay (Variety), Joyce Eng (Gold Derby), Keith Simanton (IMDb), Kristen Baldwin (Entertainment Weekly), Peter Travers (ABC), Susan King (Gold Derby), and Thelma Adams (Gold Derby).

Meanwhile, nine out of our 10 staff editors believe Milioti will receive a Golden Globe bid for “The Penguin”: Charles Bright, Chris Beachum, Christopher Rosen, Debra Birnbaum, Denton Davidson, Joyce Eng, Marcus James Dixon, Matt Noble, and Rob Licuria.

As for our top 24 users who did the best at predicting last year’s Golden Globe nominations, 18 are now backing a bid for Milioti. Make your predictions at Gold Derby right now to let us know who YOU think will win at the 2025 Golden Globes.

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