Golden Globe TV predictions 2025: Kathy Bates (‘Matlock’) jumps into Best Drama Actress Top 6 [Updated November 6]
If the 2025 Golden Globes TV nominations were announced today, what would Gold Derby predict as the nominees and winners? Our predictions center officially opened on September 3, 2024 and already more than 1,400 people have made their television forecasts in the 11 categories for series (drama/comedy/limited) and acting (lead/supporting). So who’s out front to claim this year’s trophies, according to Gold Derby’s Golden Globe TV predictions 2025?
Below, see a snapshot in time of our racetrack odds for the 82nd annual ceremony, updated on November 6, 2024. See how the odds and rankings have changed over time by examining our previous Golden Globe TV snapshot on October 30.
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Now expected to receive a nomination since the last update: Kathy Bates (“Matlock”) in Best TV Drama Actress, Josh Andres Rivera (“American Sports Story: Aaron Hernandez”) in Best Limited/Movie Actor, and Cristin Milioti (“The Penguin”) in Best Limited/Movie Actress. Also of note this week, “Agatha All Along” and Kathryn Hahn made the switch from limited series to comedy series.
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Gold Derby’s Golden Globe odds are based on the combined forecasts of Experts we’ve polled from major media outlets, Editors who cover awards year-round for this website, Top 24 Users who did the best predicting the winners last time, All-Star Users who had the best prediction scores over the last two years, and the mass of Users who make up our biggest predictions bloc. We will continue to update the Golden Globes predictions center whenever new information is provided to us by the studios/campaigners. Track the awards races by exploring all of our charts and graphs.
BEST DRAMA SERIES
Predicted Nominees
1. “Shōgun” — 69/20
2. “Mr. and Mrs. Smith” — 11/2
3. “Slow Horses” — 6/1
4. “House of the Dragon” — 7/1
5. “Presumed Innocent” — 9/1
6. “Squid Game” — 19/2
Predicted Spoilers
“Fallout,” “The Diplomat,” “Industry,” “Pachinko,” “Dune: Prophecy”
See more Best Drama Series contenders …
BEST TV DRAMA ACTOR
Predicted Nominees
1. Hiroyuki Sanada (“Shōgun”) — 7/2
2. Gary Oldman (“Slow Horses”) — 9/2
3. Jake Gyllenhaal (“Presumed Innocent”) — 11/2
4. Donald Glover (“Mr. and Mrs. Smith”) — 6/1
5. Lee Jung-jae (“Squid Game”) — 17/2
6. Walton Goggins (“Fallout”) — 19/2
Predicted Spoilers
Jeff Bridges (“The Old Man”), Cosmo Jarvis (“Shōgun”), Matt Smith (“House of the Dragon”), Lee Min-Ho (“Pachinko”), Colin Farrell (“Sugar”)
See more Best Drama Actor contenders …
BEST TV DRAMA ACTRESS
Predicted Nominees
1. Anna Sawai (“Shōgun”) — 69/20
2. Keri Russell (“The Diplomat”) — 5/1
3. Maya Erskine (“Mr. and Mrs. Smith”) — 5/1
4. Emma D’Arcy (“House of the Dragon”) — 17/2
5. Sharon Horgan (“Bad Sisters”) — 21/2
6. Kathy Bates (“Matlock”) — 13/1
Predicted Spoilers
Ella Purnell (“Fallout”), Marisa Abela (“Industry”), Carrie Preston (“Elsbeth”), Keira Knightley (“Black Doves”), Myha’la Herrold (“Industry”)
See more Best Drama Actress contenders …
BEST COMEDY SERIES
Predicted Nominees
1. “Hacks” — 18/5
2. “The Bear” — 4/1
3. “Only Murders in the Building” — 5/1
4. “Abbott Elementary” — 6/1
5. “Shrinking” — 11/1
6. “Palm Royale” — 16/1
Predicted Spoilers
“English Teacher,” “Nobody Wants This,” “What We Do in the Shadows,” “Bad Monkey,” “The Franchise”
See more Best Comedy Series contenders …
BEST TV COMEDY ACTOR
Predicted Nominees
1. Jeremy Allen White (“The Bear”) — 18/5
2. Steve Martin (“Only Murders in the Building”) — 9/2
3. Martin Short (“Only Murders in the Building”) — 5/1
4. Jason Segel (“Shrinking”) — 15/2
5. Brian Jordan Alvarez (“English Teacher”) — 10/1
6. Vince Vaughn (“Bad Monkey”) — 10/1
Predicted Spoilers
Matt Berry (“What We Do in the Shadows”), Adam Brody (“Nobody Wants This”), Patrick Brammall (“Colin from Accounts”), Larry David (“Curb Your Enthusiasm”), Theo James (“The Gentlemen”)
See more Best Comedy Actor contenders …
BEST TV COMEDY ACTRESS
Predicted Nominees
1. Jean Smart (“Hacks”) — 69/20
2. Ayo Edebiri (“The Bear”) — 4/1
3. Quinta Brunson (“Abbott Elementary”) — 5/1
4. Selena Gomez (“Only Murders in the Building”) — 13/2
5. Maya Rudolph (“Loot”) — 19/2
6. Kristen Wiig (“Palm Royale”) — 10/1
Predicted Spoilers
Kristen Bell (“Nobody Wants This”), Harriet Dyer (“Colin from Accounts”), Lisa Kudrow (“No Good Deed”), Natasia Demetriou (“What We Do in the Shadows”), Bridget Everett (“Somebody Somewhere”)
See more Best Comedy Actress contenders …
BEST LIMITED SERIES/MOVIE
Predicted Nominees
1. “Baby Reindeer” — 7/2
2. “True Detective: Night Country” — 9/2
3. “Ripley” — 11/2
4. “Disclaimer” — 13/2
5. “The Penguin” — 7/1
6. “Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story” — 17/2
Predicted Spoilers
“Feud: Capote vs. The Swans,” “The Perfect Couple,” “Masters of the Air,” “Fight Night: The Million Dollar Heist,” “A Very Royal Scandal”
See more Best Limited Series/Movie contenders …
BEST LIMITED/MOVIE ACTOR
Predicted Nominees
1. Richard Gadd (“Baby Reindeer”) — 71/20
2. Andrew Scott (“Ripley”) — 4/1
3. Colin Farrell (“The Penguin”) — 5/1
4. Kevin Kline (“Disclaimer”) — 13/2
5. Tom Hollander (“Feud: Capote vs. The Swans”) — 15/2
6. Josh Andres Rivera (“American Sports Story: Aaron Hernandez”) — 30/1
Predicted Spoilers
Michael Sheen (“A Very Royal Scandal”), Ewan McGregor (“A Gentleman in Moscow”), Cooper Koch (“Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story”), Tobias Menzies (“Manhunt”), Michael Douglas (“Franklin”)
See more Best Limited/Movie Actor contenders …
BEST LIMITED/MOVIE ACTRESS
Predicted Nominees
1. Jodie Foster (“True Detective: Night Country”) — 18/5
2. Cate Blanchett (“Disclaimer”) — 4/1
3. Naomi Watts (“Feud: Capote vs. The Swans”) — 13/2
4. Sofia Vergara (“Griselda”) — 13/2
5. Nicole Kidman (“The Perfect Couple”) — 15/2
6. Cristin Milioti (“The Penguin”) — 13/1
Predicted Spoilers
Natalie Portman (“Lady in the Lake”), Ruth Wilson (“A Very Royal Scandal”), Kate Winslet (“The Regime”), Jessica Lange (“The Great Lillian Hall”), Betty Gilpin (“Three Women”)
See more Best Limited Movie/Actress contenders …
BEST TV SUPPORTING ACTOR
Predicted Nominees
1. Ebon Moss-Bachrach (“The Bear”) — 37/10
2. Tadanobu Asano (“Shōgun”) — 9/2
3. Peter Sarsgaard (“Presumed Innocent”) — 6/1
4. Jack Lowden (“Slow Horses”) — 15/2
5. Harrison Ford (“Shrinking”) — 10/1
6. Robert Downey Jr. (“The Sympathizer”) — 10/1
Predicted Spoilers
Sacha Baron Cohen (“Disclaimer”), Paul W. Downs (“Hacks”), Tom Goodman-Hill (“Baby Reindeer”), Jonathan Pryce (“Slow Horses”), Javier Bardem (“Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story”)
See more Best Supporting Actor contenders …
BEST TV SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Predicted Nominees
1. Jessica Gunning (“Baby Reindeer”) — 7/2
2. Hannah Einbinder (“Hacks”) — 9/2
3. Kali Reis (“True Detective: Night Country”) — 6/1
4. Meryl Streep (“Only Murders in the Building”) — 7/1
5. Liza Colon-Zayas (“The Bear”) — 8/1
6. Carol Burnett (“Palm Royale”) — 18/1
Predicted Spoilers
Ruth Negga (“Presumed Innocent”), Nava Mau (“Baby Reindeer”), Diane Lane (“Feud: Capote vs. The Swans”), Lesley Manville (“Disclaimer”), Leila George (“Disclaimer”)
See more Best Supporting Actress contenders …
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