Golden Globe TV predictions 2025: ‘Shōgun,’ ‘Hacks,’ ‘Baby Reindeer’ could repeat their Emmy victories [Updated October 30]
If the 2025 Golden Globes TV nominations were announced today, what would Gold Derby predict as the nominees and winners? Our predictions center officially opened on September 3, 2024 and already more than 1,300 people have made their television forecasts in the 11 categories for series (drama/comedy/limited) and acting (lead/supporting). So who’s out front to claim this year’s trophies, according to Gold Derby’s Golden Globe TV predictions 2025?
Below, see a snapshot in time of our racetrack odds for the 82nd annual ceremony, updated on October 30, 2024. How many of this year’s Golden Globe trophies will go to contenders who just prevailed at the 2024 Emmy Awards? As a reminder, Emmy’s trio of series champs were “Shōgun” for drama, “Hacks” for comedy, and “Baby Reindeer” for limited, and now all three are also predicted to triumph at the Globes.
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Gold Derby’s Golden Globe odds are based on the combined forecasts of Experts we’ve polled from major media outlets, Editors who cover awards year-round for this website, Top 24 Users who did the best predicting the winners last time, All-Star Users who had the best prediction scores over the last two years, and the mass of Users who make up our biggest predictions bloc. We will continue to update the Golden Globes predictions center whenever new information is provided to us by the studios/campaigners.
BEST DRAMA SERIES
Predicted Nominees
1. “Shōgun” — 69/20
2. “Mr. and Mrs. Smith” — 11/2
3. “Slow Horses” — 11/2
4. “House of the Dragon” — 15/2
5. “Presumed Innocent” — 9/1
6. “Squid Game” — 10/1
Predicted Spoilers
“Fallout,” “The Diplomat,” “Industry,” “Pachinko,” “Dune: Prophecy”
See more Best Drama Series contenders …
BEST TV DRAMA ACTOR
Predicted Nominees
1. Hiroyuki Sanada (“Shōgun”) — 7/2
2. Gary Oldman (“Slow Horses”) — 9/2
3. Jake Gyllenhaal (“Presumed Innocent”) — 11/2
4. Donald Glover (“Mr. and Mrs. Smith”) — 6/1
5. Lee Jung-jae (“Squid Game”) — 17/2
6. Walton Goggins (“Fallout”) — 19/2
Predicted Spoilers
Jeff Bridges (“The Old Man”), Cosmo Jarvis (“Shōgun”), Matt Smith (“House of the Dragon”), Lee Min-Ho (“Pachinko”), Joshua Jackson (“Doctor Odyssey”)
See more Best Drama Actor contenders …
BEST TV DRAMA ACTRESS
Predicted Nominees
1. Anna Sawai (“Shōgun”) — 17/5
2. Maya Erskine (“Mr. and Mrs. Smith”) — 5/1
3. Keri Russell (“The Diplomat”) — 5/1
4. Emma D’Arcy (“House of the Dragon”) — 17/2
5. Sharon Horgan (“Bad Sisters”) — 10/1
6. Ella Purnell (“Fallout”) — 13/1
Predicted Spoilers
Kathy Bates (“Matlock”), Marisa Abela (“Industry”), Carrie Preston (“Elsbeth”), Keira Knightley (“Black Doves”), Niecy Nash-Betts (“Grotesquerie”)
See more Best Drama Actress contenders …
BEST COMEDY SERIES
Predicted Nominees
1. “Hacks” — 18/5
2. “The Bear” — 4/1
3. “Only Murders in the Building” — 5/1
4. “Abbott Elementary” — 6/1
5. “Shrinking” — 19/2
6. “Palm Royale” — 16/1
Predicted Spoilers
“English Teacher,” “Nobody Wants This,” “What We Do in the Shadows,” “Bad Monkey,” “The Franchise”
See more Best Comedy Series contenders …
BEST TV COMEDY ACTOR
Predicted Nominees
1. Jeremy Allen White (“The Bear”) — 18/5
2. Steve Martin (“Only Murders in the Building”) — 9/2
3. Martin Short (“Only Murders in the Building”) — 5/1
4. Jason Segel (“Shrinking”) — 7/1
5. Vince Vaughn (“Bad Monkey”) — 19/2
6. Brian Jordan Alvarez (“English Teacher”) — 10/1
Predicted Spoilers
Matt Berry (“What We Do in the Shadows”), Adam Brody (“Nobody Wants This”), Patrick Brammall (“Colin from Accounts”), Larry David (“Curb Your Enthusiasm”), Ted Danson (“A Man on the Inside”)
See more Best Comedy Actor contenders …
BEST TV COMEDY ACTRESS
Predicted Nominees
1. Jean Smart (“Hacks”) — 69/20
2. Ayo Edebiri (“The Bear”) — 4/1
3. Quinta Brunson (“Abbott Elementary”) — 5/1
4. Selena Gomez (“Only Murders in the Building”) — 13/2
5. Maya Rudolph (“Loot”) — 9/1
6. Kristen Wiig (“Palm Royale”) — 19/2
Predicted Spoilers
Kristen Bell (“Nobody Wants This”), Harriet Dyer (“Colin from Accounts”), Lisa Kudrow (“No Good Deed”), Natasia Demetriou (“What We Do in the Shadows”), Bridget Everett (“Somebody Somewhere”)
See more Best Comedy Actress contenders …
BEST LIMITED SERIES/MOVIE
Predicted Nominees
1. “Baby Reindeer” — 7/2
2. “True Detective: Night Country” — 9/2
3. “Ripley” — 5/1
4. “Disclaimer” — 13/2
5. “The Penguin” — 15/2
6. “Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story” — 9/1
Predicted Spoilers
“Feud: Capote vs. The Swans,” “The Perfect Couple,” “Masters of the Air,” “Fight Night: The Million Dollar Heist,” “Agatha All Along”
See more Best Limited Series/Movie contenders …
BEST LIMITED/MOVIE ACTOR
Predicted Nominees
1. Richard Gadd (“Baby Reindeer”) — 71/20
2. Andrew Scott (“Ripley”) — 4/1
3. Colin Farrell (“The Penguin”) — 5/1
4. Kevin Kline (“Disclaimer”) — 7/1
5. Tom Hollander (“Feud: Capote vs. The Swans”) — 15/2
6. Javier Bardem (“Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story”) — 19/2
Predicted Spoilers
Josh Andres Rivera (“American Sports Story: Aaron Hernandez”), Michael Sheen (“A Very Royal Scandal”), Ewan McGregor (“A Gentleman in Moscow”), Ed O’Neill (“Clipped”), Tobias Menzies (“Manhunt”)
See more Best Limited/Movie Actor contenders …
BEST LIMITED/MOVIE ACTRESS
Predicted Nominees
1. Jodie Foster (“True Detective: Night Country”) — 18/5
2. Cate Blanchett (“Disclaimer”) — 4/1
3. Naomi Watts (“Feud: Capote vs. The Swans”) — 13/2
4. Sofia Vergara (“Griselda”) — 7/1
5. Nicole Kidman (“The Perfect Couple”) — 15/2
6. Kathryn Hahn (“Agatha All Along”) — 23/2
Predicted Spoilers
Cristin Milioti (“The Penguin”), Chloe Sevigny (“Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story”), Ruth Wilson (“A Very Royal Scandal”), Natalie Portman (“Lady in the Lake”), Jessica Lange (“The Great Lillian Hall”)
See more Best Limited Movie/Actress contenders …
BEST TV SUPPORTING ACTOR
Predicted Nominees
1. Ebon Moss-Bachrach (“The Bear”) — 37/10
2. Tadanobu Asano (“Shōgun”) — 4/1
3. Peter Sarsgaard (“Presumed Innocent”) — 6/1
4. Jack Lowden (“Slow Horses”) — 15/2
5. Robert Downey Jr. (“The Sympathizer”) — 10/1
6. Harrison Ford (“Shrinking”) — 21/2
Predicted Spoilers
Sacha Baron Cohen (“Disclaimer”), Paul W. Downs (“Hacks”), Tom Goodman-Hill (“Baby Reindeer”), Cooper Koch (“Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story”), Jonathan Pryce (“Slow Horses”)
See more Best Supporting Actor contenders …
BEST TV SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Predicted Nominees
1. Jessica Gunning (“Baby Reindeer”) — 7/2
2. Hannah Einbinder (“Hacks”) — 9/2
3. Kali Reis (“True Detective: Night Country”) — 6/1
4. Meryl Streep (“Only Murders in the Building”) — 7/1
5. Liza Colon-Zayas (“The Bear”) — 17/2
6. Carol Burnett (“Palm Royale”) — 16/1
Predicted Spoilers
Ruth Negga (“Presumed Innocent”), Nava Mau (“Baby Reindeer”), Diane Lane (“Feud: Capote vs. The Swans”), Lesley Manville (“Disclaimer”), Leila George (“Disclaimer”)
See more Best Supporting Actress contenders …
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