How Should You Think About Keras Resources Plc’s (AIM:KRS) Risks?

If you are a shareholder in Keras Resources Plc’s (AIM:KRS), or are thinking about investing in the company, knowing how it contributes to the risk and reward profile of your portfolio is important. Generally, an investor should consider two types of risk that impact the market value of KRS. The first risk to consider is company-specific, which can be diversified away when you invest in other companies in the same industry as KRS, because it is rare that an entire industry collapses at once. The other type of risk, which cannot be diversified away, is market risk. Every stock in the market is exposed to this risk, which arises from macroeconomic factors such as economic growth and geo-political tussles just to name a few.

Different characteristics of a stock expose it to various levels of market risk. A popular measure of market risk for a stock is its beta, and the market as a whole represents a beta value of one. Any stock with a beta of greater than one is considered more volatile than the market, and those with a beta less than one is generally less volatile.

See our latest analysis for KRS

An interpretation of KRS's beta

Keras Resources has a beta of 1.1, which means that the percentage change in its stock value will be higher than the entire market in times of booms and busts. A high level of beta means investors face higher risk associated with potential gains and losses driven by market movements. According to this value of beta, KRS can help magnify your portfolio return, especially if it is predominantly made up of low-beta stocks. If the market is going up, a higher exposure to the upside from a high-beta stock can push up your portfolio return.

AIM:KRS Income Statement Sep 20th 17

Could KRS's size and industry cause it to be more volatile?

A market capitalisation of GBP £8.78M puts KRS in the category of small-cap stocks, which tends to possess higher beta than larger companies. Furthermore, the company operates in the materials industry, which has been found to have high sensitivity to market-wide shocks. As a result, we should expect higher beta for small-cap stocks in a cyclical industry compared to larger stocks in a defensive industry. This is consistent with KRS’s individual beta value we discussed above. Next, we will examine the fundamental factors which can cause cyclicality in the stock.

How KRS's assets could affect its beta

An asset-heavy company tends to have a higher beta because the risk associated with running fixed assets during a downturn is highly expensive. I test KRS’s ratio of fixed assets to total assets in order to determine how high the risk is associated with this type of constraint. Considering fixed assets account for less than a third of the company's overall assets, KRS seems to have a smaller dependency on fixed costs to generate revenue. As a result, the company may be less volatile relative to broad market movements, compared to a company of similar size but higher proportion of fixed assets. This outcome contradicts KRS’s current beta value which indicates an above-average volatility.