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The Hill

Harris, Trump neck and neck in new national survey

Juliann Ventura
2 min read
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Vice President Harris and former President Trump are neck and neck nationally with just more than a week until Election Day, a survey released Friday showed.

The latest poll from The New York Times and Siena College revealed that the likely electorate is basically split on whom they would vote for if the election was held today, with Harris and Trump garnering 48 percent support apiece in a head-to-head.

With other candidates included, Trump pulls ahead by 1 point, leading Harris 47 percent to 46 percent.

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The respondents seemed fairly sure of whom they planned to vote for, with 87 percent saying they’re definitely going to vote for the candidate of their choice. Another 11 percent said they would probably vote for the candidate of their choice, and just 2 percent were unsure or refused to answer, the poll found.

Roughly 58 percent said they were almost certain they were going to vote in November, while just 1 percent said they were not at all likely, according to the survey.

More than half, 61 percent, of likely voters said they thought the U.S. is on the wrong track, compared to 28 percent who said the opposite, the data shows.

When asked which party’s candidate they would choose for their respective congressional races, candidates on both sides of the aisle were locked in dead heat. Both the Democratic and Republican candidates received 48 percent support, the poll shows, while 4 percent were unsure or didn’t answer.

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Just more than 30 percent of voters viewed Trump very favorably, compared to 29 percent who said the same of Harris. On the other side, 44 percent of respondents viewed the GOP nominee unfavorably, while 42 percent viewed the vice president as unfavorable, the survey found.

Respondents’ top issues this election cycle was the economy, with 27 percent saying as much. That nearly doubled the next highest issues, abortion and immigration, which received 15 percent apiece.

On the economy, more voters, 52 percent, had trust that Trump would handle the issue better, compared to 45 percent who chose Harris. Regarding abortion, more respondents said they trusted the Democratic nominee, 55 percent to 40 percent. And on immigration, 54 percent chose Trump, while 43 percent chose the vice president.

When asked who respondents thought would do a better job of handling the issue that’s most important to them, 49 percent chose Trump and 46 percent chose Harris, the survey found.

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The Hill/Decision Desk HQ’s aggregate of polls shows the vice president with a 1-point lead over her GOP rival — 48.7 percent to 47.7 percent.

The Times/Siena poll was conducted Oct. 20-23 among 2,516 likely voters nationwide via telephone and live interviews in both Spanish and English. The margin of error was 2.2 percentage points.

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