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Presidential election polls 2024: Latest surveys on Harris vs. Trump with 6 days to go

Eric Lagatta, USA TODAY
Updated
5 min read

Editor’s Note: Follow along here for the latest presidential polls for Thursday, Oct. 31.

The race for the White House remains incredibly tight as Democrat Kamala Harris maintains an ever so slight edge over Republican Donald Trump in the latest national polls.

In the final pre-election poll by Economist/YouGov out Wednesday, Harris has kept a small lead over Trump among registered voters.

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With less than a week to go until election day, both candidates have been making their final pitches to voters and visiting key swing states to woo any undecideds who remain.

Trump on Tuesday held a rally in Allentown, Pennsylvania, located about 60 miles northwest of Philadelphia. The former president is looking to notch a victory in the Keystone State, after he won Pennsylvania in the 2016 presidential election but lost it in 2020.

Harris was in the nation's capital on Tuesday. She delivered a "closing argument" for her campaign at the Ellipse, the same spot where Trump gave a fiery speech nearly four years ago before a crowd of his supporters stormed the U.S. Capital on Jan. 6, 2021.

Harris returns to the campaign trail Wednesday with a packed scheduled. On her itinerary is a visit to Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, and Raleigh, North Carolina, before traveling to the University Of Wisconsin-Madison for a rally and concert with folk rock band Mumford & Sons.

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Trump, meanwhile, is set to hold rallies in two swing states Wednesday. In the afternoon, he is scheduled to appear at a rally in Rocky Mount, North Carolina, located northeast of Raleigh. Then, he is slated to hold a rally later in the night in Green Bay, Wisconsin, where he will be joined by former Green Bay Packer quarterback Brett Favre,

Election 2024 replay: Harris delivers 'closing argument' in DC; Trump holds PA rally

Harris keeps small lead over Trump in final Economist/YouGov election poll

Harris is leading Trump by more than one percentage point in a new Economist/YouGov poll out Wednesday, further indicating a close race.

The poll of 1,446 registered voters showed 47% of registered voters either planned to vote for Harris or had already voted for her, while 46% indicated they supported Trump. Due to rounding, the gap is actually closer to two percentage points, the poll stated. Harris' lead among registered voters is within the poll's margin of error (± 3.4 percentage points).

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The poll was conducted from Oct. 26 to Oct. 29 and is the final Economist/YouGov poll planned before the election. Forty percent of respondents said they had already voted.

Harris still leads Trump in latest TIPP poll

Harris clings to a 1 percentage point lead over Trump in TIPP's Tracking Poll from Wednesday morning.

The poll of 1,302 likely voters showed Harris leading Trump 48%-47% with just six days to go until the election. The poll had a margin of error of 2.7 percentage points.

As in previous TIPP polls, more than half of the respondents, 53%, reported feeling the economy was worse off than it was pre-pandemic. TIPP found that 66% of respondents are unhappy with the nation's path, which "poses a serious challenge for the incumbents."

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As Nov. 5 approaches, 15% of voters have already cast their ballots, while another 14% plan to vote by mail, and another 12% intend to drop off their ballots before election day. Just more than half, 51%, plan to vote in person or drop off their ballots on election day, the survey found.

Harris, Trump deadlocked in battleground Michigan

The candidates are deadlocked in the battleground state of Michigan, according to an exclusive new USA TODAY/Suffolk University poll.

Harris and Trump are tied, 47% to 47%, a statewide poll of 500 likely voters shows. The results are within the poll’s margin of error of 4.4 percentage points. The poll was conducted between Oct. 24 and 27.

Harris and Trump tied in North Carolina poll

Harris and Trump are deadlocked among likely voters in North Carolina, according to a SurveyUSA/WRAL poll released Tuesday.

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The poll of 853 likely voters, conducted online between Oct. 23-26 and released exactly one week before Election Day, has both candidates at 47%, with 2% of respondents saying they will vote for a third-party candidate and 4% undecided. The result is well within the poll's margin of error of 4.1 percentage points.

Trump and Harris neck-and-neck in Arizona and Nevada

Harris and Trump are in a dead heat in two key swing states a week out from Election Day, according to new CNN polls conducted by SSRS.

Harris is leading Trump 48% to 47% among likely voters in Arizona, while Trump is leading Harris 48% to 47% among likely voters in Nevada.

The poll was conducted among 781 registered voters in Arizona and 683 registered voters in Nevada.

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Both candidates were within the polls’ margins of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points among likely voters in Arizona and plus or minus 4.6 percentage points among likely voters in Nevada. The survey was conducted between Oct. 21 and Oct. 26.

Election Day 2024 is days away. Sign up for USA TODAY's On Politics newsletter for breaking news and exclusive analysis.

Things to keep in mind about polling

The margin of error describes how accurately we can count on the survey results being representative of the entire population.

When a candidate's lead is "inside" the margin of error, it is considered a "statistical tie," according to Pew Research Center.

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Pew has also found the majority of pollsters have changed their methods since the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, where Trump's performance was significantly underestimated.

This article has been updated to add new information.

Contributing: James Powel, Sudiksha Kochi, Kinsey Crowley, Terry Moseley, Terry Collins, USA TODAY

Eric Lagatta covers breaking and trending news for USA TODAY. Reach him at [email protected]

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Presidential election polls 2024: Latest surveys on Harris vs. Trump

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