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USA TODAY

What are the swing states? See the latest polls from places likely to decide the election

Kinsey Crowley, USA TODAY
3 min read

All eyes are on the swing states with five days to go until Election Day.

National presidential election polls as of Friday morning show a tossup race, but the Electoral College system means the race is likely to be determined by seven swing states.

Donald Trump and Kamala Harris have put much of their time and energy into campaigning in those states, as Harris tries to hold the blue wall and Trump tries to regain the votes he had to win in 2016.

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Here is a look at some recent polls from the swing states along with previous election results:

Presidential election polls 2024: Latest surveys on Harris vs. Trump with 4 days to go

Pennsylvania

  • AtlasIntel: Trump 48.5%, Harris 47.4%, with third-party candidates included (Oct. 30-31; 1,738 likely voters; margin of error: ±2 percentage points)

  • USA TODAY/Suffolk: Trump 49%, Harris 49% (Oct. 27-30; 500 likely voters; margin of error ±4.4 percentage points).

  • Marist: Harris, 50%, Trump 48% (Oct. 27-30; 1,400 likely voters; margin of error: ±3.4 percentage points)

Past election results:

  • 2016 presidential election results: Trump beat Clinton 48.6% to 47.9%

  • 2020 presidential election results: Biden beat Trump 50% to 48.8%

Michigan

  • AtlasIntel: Trump 49.2%, Harris 48.3% (Oct. 30-31; 1,136 likely voters; margin of error: ±3 percentage points)

  • Marist: Harris 51%, Trump 48% (Oct. 27-30; 1,214 likely voters; margin of error ±3.5 percentage points)

Past election results:

  • 2016 presidential election results: Trump beat Clinton 47.6% to 47.4%

  • 2020 presidential election results: Biden beat Trump 50.6% to 47.8%

Wisconsin

  • AtlasIntel: Trump 48.5%, Harris 48.2% (Oct. 30-31; 673 likely voters; margin of error: ±4 percentage points)

  • Marist: Harris 50%, Trump 48% (Oct. 27-30; 1,330 likely voters; margin of error: ±3.4 percentage points)

Past election results:

  • 2016 presidential election results: Trump beat Clinton 47.8% to 47%

  • 2020 presidential election results: Biden beat Trump 49.6% to 48.9%

Georgia

  • AtlasIntel: Trump 48.8%, Harris 47.2% (Oct. 30-31; 1,212 likely voters; margin of error: ±3 percentage points)

  • CNN/SSRS: Trump: 48%, Harris 47% (Oct. 23-28; 732 registered voters; margin of error ± 4.7 percentage points among likely voters)

Past election results:

  • 2016 presidential election results: Trump beat Hillary Clinton 51% to 45.9%

  • 2020 presidential election results: Joe Biden beat Trump 49.5% to 49.3%

North Carolina

  • AtlasIntel: Trump 50.7%, Harris 46.7% (Oct. 30-31; 1,373 likely voters; margin of error: ±3 percentage points)

  • CNN/SSRS: Harris, 48%, Trump 47% (Oct. 23-28; 750 registered voters; margin of error ± 4.5 percentage points among likely voters)

Past election results:

  • 2016 presidential election results: Trump beat Clinton 50.5% to 46.8%

  • 2020 presidential election results: Trump beat Biden 50.1% to 48.7%

Nevada

  • AtlasIntel: Trump 50.5%, Harris 46.9% (Oct. 30-31; 845 likely voters; margin of error: ±3 percentage points)

  • Emerson College/RealClearWorld: Harris 48%, Trump 47% (Oct. 29-31; 700 likely voters; margin of error ±3.6 percentage points)

Past election results:

  • 2016 presidential election results: Clinton beat Trump 47.9% to 45.5%

  • 2020 presidential election results: Biden beat Trump 50.1% to 47.7%

Arizona

  • AtlasIntel: Trump 50.8%, Harris 45.9% (Oct. 30-31; 1,005 likely voters; margin of error: ±3 percentage points)

  • CNN/SSRS: Harris 48%, Trump 47% (Oct. 21-26; 781 registered voters; margin of error ±4.4 percentage points among likely voters)

Past election results:

  • 2016 presidential election results: Trump beat Clinton 49% to 45.5%

  • 2020 presidential election results: Biden beat Trump 49.4% to 49.1%

Contributing: Sudiksha Kochi, Cybele Mayes-Osterman and Karissa Waddick

Kinsey Crowley is a trending news reporter at USA TODAY. Reach her at [email protected], and follow her on X and TikTok @kinseycrowley.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Swing state presidential election polls: See the latest news

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