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USA TODAY

What are the swing states? See polling, past results for key states for 2024 presidential election

Kinsey Crowley, USA TODAY
Updated
4 min read

Just more than a week away from Nov. 5, all eyes are on seven states that are likely to decide the 2024 presidential election.

Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris have been cycling through these battleground states hosting rallies, giving interviews and bringing celebrities along for the ride, as they try to persuade any remaining undecided voters and mobilize their supporters.

National polls and state polls alike are showing an incredibly close race. That means small margins of voters in these states could have big consequences for the Electoral College.

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Here is what to know about the battleground states: Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada and Arizona.

7 Counties in 7 Days: A cross-country road trip to 7 key places in the battle for president

Georgia

  • 2016 presidential election results: Trump beat Hillary Clinton 51% to 45.9%

  • 2020 presidential election results: Joe Biden beat Trump 49.5% to 49.3%

Here are some recent polls taken in Georgia, along with the dates they were conducted, sample size and their margin of error.

  • Marist: Trump 49%, Harris 49%, (Oct. 17-22; 1,193 likely voters; margin of error: ±3.9 percentage points)

  • Bloomberg: Trump 49.9%, Harris 48.4% (Oct. 16-20; 855 likely voters; margin of error: ±3 percentage points)

North Carolina

  • 2016 presidential election results: Trump beat Clinton 50.5% to 46.8%

  • 2020 presidential election results: Trump beat Biden 50.1% to 48.7%

Here are some recent polls taken in North Carolina, along with the dates they were conducted, sample size and margin of error:

  • Marist poll: Trump 50%, Harris 48% (Oct. 17-22; 1,226 likely voters; margin of error ±3.6 percentage points)

  • Emerson: Trump 50%, Harris 48% (Oct. 21-22; 950 likely voters; margin of error ±3.1 percentage points)

Pennsylvania

  • 2016 presidential election results: Trump beat Clinton 48.6% to 47.9%

  • 2020 presidential election results: Biden beat Trump 50% to 48.8%

Here are some recent polls taken in Pennsylvania, along with the dates they were conducted, sample size and margin of error:

  • Emerson: Trump 49%, Harris 48% (Oct. 21-22; 860 likely voters; margin of error ±3.3 percentage points)

  • Bloomberg: Trump 48%, Harris 50% (Oct. 16-20; 812 likely voters; ±3 percentage points.)

Michigan

  • 2016 presidential election results: Trump beat Clinton 47.6% to 47.4%

  • 2020 presidential election results: Biden beat Trump 50.6% to 47.8%

Here are some recent polls taken in Michigan, along with the dates they were conducted, sample size and margin of error:

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  • Quinnipiac: Trump 46%, Harris 49% (Oct.17-21; 1,136 likely voters; margin of error ± 2.9 percentage points)

  • Bloomberg: Trump 46.5% Harris 49.6% (Oct. 16-20; 705 likely voters; margin of error ±4 percentage points.)

Wisconsin

  • 2016 presidential election results: Trump beat Clinton 47.8% to 47%

  • 2020 presidential election results: Biden beat Trump 49.6% to 48.9%

Here are some recent polls taken in Wisconsin, along with the dates they were conducted, sample size and margin of error:

  • USA TODAY/Suffolk University: Trump 48%, Harris 47% (Oct. 20-23, 500 likely voters, margin of error ±4.4 percentage points).

  • Emerson: Trump 49%, Harris 48%: (Oct. 21-22; 800 likely voters; margin of error ±3.4 percentage points)

Nevada

  • 2016 presidential election results: Clinton beat Trump 47.9% to 45.5%

  • 2020 presidential election results: Biden beat Trump 50.1% to 47.7%

Here are some recent polls taken in Nevada, along with the dates they were conducted, sample size and margin of error:

  • Bloomberg: Harris 48.8%, Trump 48.3% (Oct. 16-26; 420 likely voters; margin of error ±5 percentage points)

  • AtlasIntel: Harris 48%, Trump 48% (Oct. 12-17; 1,171 likely voters; margin of error ±3 percentage points)

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Arizona

  • 2016 presidential election results: Trump beat Clinton 49% to 45.5%

  • 2020 presidential election results: Biden beat Trump 49.4% to 49.1%

Here are some recent polls taken in Arizona, along with the dates they were conducted, the sample size and the margin of error:

  • Marist: Trump 50%, Harris 49% (Oct. 17-22; 1,193 likely voters; margin of error ± 3.7 percentage points)

  • Bloomberg: Trump 49%, Harris 49% (Oct. 16-20; 861 likely voters; margin of error ±3 percentage points)

Kinsey Crowley is a trending news reporter at USA TODAY. Reach her at [email protected], and follow her on X and TikTok @kinseycrowley.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: What are the swing states? See polling, past results from 7 key states

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